He sprung to life with a T6 at The PLAYERS and went 2-1-0 in the match play last week, only losing to Xander Schauffele. He also has five straight made cuts here, one of which resulted in a top-5.ĭavis' strength will always be his driving play - he ranks 20th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 16th in driving distance this season - and his game is solid enough in the other areas to make him a threat on any course. He's playing some of the best golf of his career, ranking 19th in SG: Tee-to-Green. Kim was known as a streaky golfer who missed a lot of cuts and too often withdrew from tournament, but he's bucked that trend this season, missing just one cut in 12 starts and notching six top-25s. Kirk has a good track record here, with four top-15s in eight appearances. He's coming off a couple lackluster performances in which he struggled with his putter, and a switch back to Bermuda greens may do the trick. He has also played well this year, notching a win and two other top-5s over seven starts. Right behind him is Kirk, who checks in at 28-1. Hatton will be making his first appearance in this event and should be a good fit considering his strong iron play and short game. That has not resulted in a win, but he has come close, with three top-6 finishes over his last four stroke play events. Hatton has been by far the best player in the field from the tee box to the putting surface, gaining more than half a shot per round than anyone else over his last 20 rounds. These five golfers, on a per-round basis, gained the most strokes from tee to green over their last 20 rounds. Similarly to Glover, age seems to be catching up to Hoffman, who has made only four cuts through 14 starts, and he isn't being given much respect by the oddsmakers at 110-1 to win. TPC San Antonio has arguably been Hoffman's favorite venue - in 12 career appearances he has racked up nine top-15s, including a win in 2016 and runner-up results two of the past three years. Something will have to give between his solid track record and his current form, as the 43-year-old has struggled mightily this season, with a best finish of T36 in 12 starts. Glover tops the list, having put together three straight impressive performances which have resulted in finishes of T14, fourth and T18 last year. The following golfers have the lowest scoring average at TPC San Antonio over the last five tournaments. I also like bogey avoidance as a stat to consider given how difficult this course played last year. With five par-4s playing 410 yards or less, we'll also see a lot of wedge approaches, so I'll be targeting those who fare well from 125 yards and in. Driving play doesn't tend to be a huge factor, as the fairways are narrow and the rough is minimal/playable, and the par-5s are long and difficult with most of the longer hitters not reaching the green in two. Iron and tee-to-green play stand out as two key factors this week, with each of the last five winners ranking top-5 for the tournament in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. Average Strokes Gained Rankings: Winners Since 2017
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